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By Steve Mason

November 17, 2006

I feel like a horror film tonight. How about March of the Penguins?

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The other new wide release picture this weekend is the horribly conceived Let's Go To Prison (Universal). Actor Dax Shepard will hopefully drift toward obscurity after this one. He completes an embarrassing trifecta of awful films - the first two being Idiocracy and Employee of the Month.

Hopefully there won't be any long-term damage to the careers of Will Arnett, who was so good on Arrested Development, or Chi McBride, who is always good and is currently appearing on the TV series The Nine. This picture deserves to die quietly, and I think it will do just that with a $3-$6 million opening weekend.

Let's Go To Prison By The Numbers

All-Time Top 10 Prison Movies - Domestic Box Office
1. The Green Mile - $136,801,000
2. Stir Crazy - $101,300,000
3. Papillon - $53,267,000
4. O Brother, Where Art Thou? - $45,512,000
5. Escape From Alcatraz - $43,000,000
6. Dead Man Walking - $39,363,000
7. Brubaker - $37,121,000
8. Midnight Express - $35,000,000
9. Shawshanke Redemption - $28,341,000
10. Ernest Goes To Jail - $25,029,000

Top 3 Dax Shepard Films - Domestic Box Office
1. Cheaper By the Dozen - $138,614,000
2. Without A Paddle - $58,169,000
3. Zathura: A Space Adventure - $29,230,000

Top 3 Will Arnett Films - Domestic Box Office
1. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $195,330,000
2. Monster-In-Law - $82,931,000
3. RV - $71,402,000

Top 3 Chi McBride Films - Domestic Box Office
1. I, Robot - $144,801,000
2. Gone In 60 Seconds - $101,648,000
3. The Terminal - $77,872,000




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There are three new limited releases this weekend. I expect a modest opening for Richard Linklater's problematic Fast Food Nation (Fox Searchlight). For Your Consideration (Warner Independent) bows at 18 locations before expanding for Thanksgiving. Finally, Bobby (MGM) will get a wide release on Thanksgiving Day, but it receives two showcase runs, one in NYC and one in LA, this weekend.

Here's how I see the weekend:

1. Happy Feet - $45 million
2. Casino Royale - $39 million
3. Borat - $19 million
4. The Santa Clause 3 - $9 million
5. Flushed Away - $8 million
*Let's Go To Prison - $3 million
*Fast Food Nation - 321 locations - $5,000 per - $1.6 million
*For Your Consideration - 18 locations - $17,500 per - $315,000
*Bobby - 2 locations - $50,000 per - $100,000


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